Armenia: Opposition Local Election Rally
Yesterday saw an apparently unsanctioned pre-election rally ahead of tomorrow’s local election in Yerevan’s Kentron (Center) district. Some observers consider the vote an important test for democracy following a disputed presidential election earlier this year and a way to assess the level of support for the former president, Levon Ter-Petrossian. Demonstrations staged by his opposition movement since the 1 March clashes have become smaller and smaller leading some to consider that it has run out of momentum.
Interestingly, others have noticed some similar parallels with the February presidential election. The current district head, Gagik Beglarian (more notoriously known by his Chorni Gago nickname) faces competition from his predecessor and key figure in Ter-Petrossian’s team, Ararat Zurabian. However, what makes the vote different is a lack of interest shown by most residents in the center. Unfortunately, Armenians are more interested in presidential rather than local and even parliamentary elections.
The pro-opposition A1 Plus online news service says 70 percent of respondents were uninterested which makes the prospects of vote-buying and falsification all the more likely. RFE/RL already reports that both candidates are alleging the other will falsify the vote.
Ararat Zurabian, an opposition leader recently released from jail, is challenging the incumbent mayor of the city’s central Kentron district, Gagik Beglarian, in what promises to be a tense election scheduled for Sunday. Armenia’s main opposition alliance led by former President Levon Ter-Petrosian has declared Zurabian’s victory its most immediate political objective.
Beglarian, who is affiliated with the governing Republican Party (HHK), is seen as the favorite to win the vote not least because of his party’s administrative levers and financial resources. He claimed that the Armenian opposition and Zurabian in particular are intent on rigging the vote.
[…]
Zurabian laughed off the allegations, arguing that the opposition can barely influence the electoral process because all but one seats in election commissions in Kentron are controlled by HHK members and other government loyalists. He said that it is Beglarian who will rely on a “whole system of falsifications” on election day.
“Be certain that all kinds of vote falsifications that were observed during the presidential election and all other elections will be repeated in Kentron,” Zurabian told a news conference. “To talk about opposition falsifications means to prepare ground for falsifications and try to blame them on the opposition,” he said.
Ararat Zurabian Kentron Pre-Election Rally, Yerevan © Onnik Krikorian / Oneworld Multimedia 2008
Regardless, Zurabian’s pre-election rally held on Yerevan’s Northern Avenue was small and attracted only about 2,000 people. It is also unknown how many were actual residents of the city center and how many were simply opposition supporters. Still, it was an exercise in democracy in so much that Zurabian had every right to stage a rally and have supporters hand out leaflets.
Even so, concerns about support for the opposition are now even voiced by sympathetic media outlets such as RFE/RL.
Former President Levon Ter-Petrosian urged supporters to attend his rallies in Yerevan in much larger numbers late Friday amid signs of their dwindling enthusiasm for his opposition movement.
[…]
“I am kindly asking, demanding that hundreds of thousands of you take part in our October 17 rally,” he told about two thousand people who converged on the city’s Northern Avenue. “During it I will not reveal tactical secrets but will honestly and sincerely present to you the strategy of our further struggle, without hiding anything from you.”
Levon Ter-Petrossian, Ararat Zurabian Kentron Pre-Election Rally, Yerevan © Onnik Krikorian / Oneworld Multimedia 2008
Ararat Zurabian Kentron Pre-Election Rally, Yerevan © Onnik Krikorian / Oneworld Multimedia 2008
The trouble for the opposition is that Ter-Petrossian never attracted anywhere near “hundreds of thousands” of supporters with independent journalists and observers reckoning on 50,60,000 at the height of their protests in Liberty Square. Otherwise they averaged just 20-30,000. Even so, Beglarian became district head in 2002 with just 10,000 more votes than Zurabian.
The vote was of course accompanied by accusations of falsification and illegalities.
Opposition parties have fared even more poorly in large communities. Yerevan’s central Kentron district, the only major opposition-controlled area in Armenia, will now be run by Gagik Beglarian, a government-linked businessman supported by the HHK. Election officials said Beglarian beat Ararat Zurabian of the opposition Armenian Pan-National Movement (HHSh). Zurabian had headed the Kentron administration since 1996, when the HHSh was in power.
HHSh activists claimed the vote was marred with numerous irregularities but sounded resigned to its outcome, saying that the former ruling party will not take Beglarian to court.
Hard to say which candidate has the most support given the apparent indifference shown by many more people walking past the pre-election rally rather than joining it. Still, it’s hard to imagine Beglarian has many supporters either given his notoriety. Perhaps the main question is whether local elections will be met by indifference tomorrow and to what extent vote-buying or outright falsification will determine the outcome.
However, A1 Plus reports that the possibility of vote buying does not concern the oppositon candidate.
Ararat Zurabian thinks his chances to victory are great. “Kentron is Yerevan’s heart. Unlike the suburbs finances do not dominate in this district. We have reliable levers to run in the election. We have a mighty team capable of winning any election.”
Nevertheless, one concern is that there might be isolated cases of violence at some polling stations if the vote is close. Hopefully, that will not be the case. Yesterday’s rally passed without incident and police maintained their distance. It was also refreshing to see the albeit small crowd made up of both young and old — something which was virtually unknown before the beginning of the year and certainly for a local election.
Stepan Demirchian, Ararat Zurabian Kentron Pre-Election Rally, Yerevan © Onnik Krikorian / Oneworld Multimedia 2008
Aram Sargsyan, Ararat Zurabian Kentron Pre-Election Rally, Yerevan © Onnik Krikorian / Oneworld Multimedia 2008
Ararat Zurabian Kentron Pre-Election Rally, Yerevan © Onnik Krikorian / Oneworld Multimedia 2008
Armen Musinyan, Ararat Zurabian Kentron Pre-Election Rally, Yerevan © Onnik Krikorian / Oneworld Multimedia 2008
Melissa Brown, Ararat Zurabian Kentron Pre-Election Rally, Yerevan © Onnik Krikorian / Oneworld Multimedia 2008
Aram Manukian, Ararat Zurabian Kentron Pre-Election Rally, Yerevan © Onnik Krikorian / Oneworld Multimedia 2008
Ararat Zurabian, Ararat Zurabian Kentron Pre-Election Rally, Yerevan © Onnik Krikorian / Oneworld Multimedia 2008
Ararat Zurabian Kentron Pre-Election Rally, Yerevan © Onnik Krikorian / Oneworld Multimedia 2008

























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