Prediction: Ter-Petrossian’s Imprisonment

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1. Paul 02.27.08 / 5pm

   “L. Ter-Petrosian will not leave his business unfinished to go “to have tea” as Stepan Demirchian did.

   LOL was he just reading this blog and saw my comment?! Or do we have a coincidence on our hands. Seeing as this article is two days old, it is a coincidence, darn. Indeed the bridges have been burnt, but prison? In the long term, once these protests presumably go away (but when and how that happens remains to be seen), but definitely not sometime soon. Can you imagine him being arrested now when the protests are in full swing? Now that’d turn into a revolution. Will these people care enough if he’s arrested 6 months from now? Maybe, maybe not. What happens all depends of course on who gets what out of a presumable and hopeful settlement to this. This can’t go on forever and it will have some sort of resolution but really at this juncture I have no idea what that ending will be.
2. reading_is_dangerous 02.27.08 / 7pm

   to put him in jail wouldn’t be the best move, in my opinion. That would just increase his popularity, although one never knows. For the good of the country, Serge should announce new elections to be held in less than a year, and this time we should abolish the so-called “secret” voting, to cut short the massive frauds. Let people stand by their choice, and let’s give democracy another chance.

   The OSCE should leave, because it has discredited itself, and I never liked them driving their silly looking big 4X4 anyway.

   Long live the Republic!
3. nazarian 02.27.08 / 7pm

   The communists arrested him, too, and it didn’t stop the Movement in 1989.
4. Emil Sanamyan 02.27.08 / 9pm

   What didn’t stop the movement in late 1980s is dissolution of USSR and war in Karabakh. And certainly near total unity of the Armenian populace.
5. GT 02.27.08 / 10pm

   putting him to prison will make him a martyr. public loves martyrs. those who loved him once and now hate him, will again turn on his side. i have no doubt that even among many ardent supporters of Serj, as a matter of personal convenience, part is quietly hating him.
6. Paul 02.27.08 / 10pm

   I think this whole Levon will be arrested thing was just floated by the opposition because they secretly want it to happen. They have been rather provocative and saying things trying to get the government to react. For example earlier on I was hearing Levon saying things like the authorities wouldn’t dare attack us- and of course an attack on them would only heighten the outrage and would most likely have helped the opposition. Now they are floating the idea Levon could be arrested with the hope he will be. The government isn’t that stupid.
7. Onnik 02.27.08 / 11pm

   RFE/RL’s Press Review has something similar from the printed version of Aravot, but with some very important differences.

   “Aravot” predicts that authorities will use force to disperse opposition crowds in Yerevan’s Liberty Square “in the coming days.” “[Levon] Ter-Petrosian will not leave the job unfinished and go home to drink tea, as was the case in 2003. On the other hand, he will not attack the National Assembly, as was the case in 1996,” says the paper, adding that the first president of Armenia may proceed to only two places from Liberty Square: the presidential palace or prison. It says the authorities will not have an “easy life” even if they jail Ter-Petrosian. “In that case, the regime would be very shaky both inside and outside the country. The ideal option would be for the conflicting parties to start negotiations. But that is the most unlikely scenario at the moment.”

   http://www.armenialiberty.org/press/press/en/2008/02/75F596B9-BC1E-48DB-8045-6761BFA4DB6A.ASP

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