Armenia: Exit Polls
The Armenian Economist comments on two exit polls conducted during voting for last week’s presidential election in Armenia. The blog appears to consider the British Populus poll the more reliable of the two, but says the discrepancy between the findings of both is striking.
This is strange. The sample design and selection seem odd. And what are we to make of the sample sizes of 2300, 4400, 3550, and the 3090 (sum of the people voting for individual candidates). Why are the sample estimates (1152, 1084, …) reported without any adjustment for the size of the voting population (precincts), and seemingly not any of the demographics? What do the above figures tell us about the likely winner of the elections? Clearly, and unless ArmInfo got it wrong somehow, at best this is sloppy work. None of the foreign news services, except for Radio Free Europe (RFE/RL), reported its findings. Instead, they reported those of the reputable Populus.
- Published:
- 02.24.08 / 1pm by Onnik
- Category:
- Armenia, Armenia Presidential Election 2008, Blogs, Campaign, Candidates, Civil Society, Election Day, Exit Polls, News Briefs, Opinion, United Kingdom, Voting
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